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I had an interesting query from a reader, Craig, yesterday. Asking what businesses (in particular bars and restaurants) have re-opened. Also, are there any that have closed permanently due to the crisis.

Jacqui and I have not been around town much since the lock down has been eased. As we are still being very careful.

So people who have been out and about please could you do me a favour. Please can you comment on this story on the Facebook page with details of what is open and closed now. (The story should be published on the Facebook page automatically later today).

As a starter Jacqui and I went to Osteria da Ralph in the square some time ago. Our only visit to a bar or restaurant in ages. I guess that this place is still open.

We have friends who say The Galley, D Bar and La Plaza have re-opened.

Where else?

Info from my preferred Spanish stats guy

Note that a multiplication rate of 1.0 means approximately 0 events (cases or deaths) when comparing today`s 4 day average with yesterday's.

Note that this is the data from yesterday - due to timing changes to the release of data by the government

Google translation:

Data Tuesday June 23

Starting today, I am launching a new selection of data and a way to present it, because I consider that we are already in a new post-epidemic stage, so I believe that the focus should not be on a trend compared to the past, but rather an evolution of this trend from the new situation. The aim is to better gauge to what extent the situation is controlled after the first wave.

Yesterday it showed the statistics that reflect that the cases in weekly rhythm have already stopped decreasing for 10 days. Specifically, on June 10 the minimum was reached in the statistics of total cases detected in a week, as shown in the graph. That day was the first and only time in the entire crisis below the 2,000 cases declared in a week (1,954). This figure corresponds to the total official cases announced by the Ministry of Health less the total cases from a week before.



As of today I take as a reference of daily cases the difference between the official total cases of the day minus those of the previous day. I stop taking as a reference the figure of “Cases diagnosed in the previous day”, since this figure takes into account less than 40% of the total cases diagnosed.

Throughout the crisis I have used the number of daily cases that lowers the real total figure because it is what both the Ministry and the press report as “daily cases”. However, the most real information on the situation is that of the new cases declared, even if they were not diagnosed on the previous day. I did so to join the official communication of the Ministry and because it was a figure that followed similar criteria throughout the first wave. In the current follow-up pass what matters is to be aware of the total cases that are detected.

The total new cases of the last day are 248, by 232 yesterday and 334 two days ago. It is not a bad number because it corresponds to the first day with no weekend effect. However, we may see growth in the figure tomorrow.



In tune with this new restart, the multiplication rate of total cases has been activated not since the beginning of the crisis, but since the day the trend has no longer reduced cases. Recall that the multiplication rate is the result of dividing today's total cases with those of 4 days ago. The result obtained answers the question "How much have the total cases multiplied in the last 4 days?". Now the “total” cases are no longer 246,752, but are the cases since June 4 (7 days before the trend change). From that day until June 23, a total of 6,426 new cases have been declared. The number of “new total” cases are in the summary data table.

This leads the multiplication rate to stand at 1.15: total cases have increased by 15% in the last 4 days. The evolution of the multiplication rate shows a controlled evolution for the moment, since it is reduced from the 1.3 zone 10 days ago.



The table of total data includes in the fourth column of results the series "Total cases 1st wave". This shows the number of total cases that had been reached in March, in the same number of days since the 300 total cases were reached. In the first wave, 44,206 new cases were added, down 6,426 now. The difference in the spread of the coronavirus is actually much greater since in March the test was only performed on rave cases, whereas now in June the vast majority of cases are mild or even asymptomatic. They are two different worlds at the moment.

 

I picked this up off Facebook. Here is a Google translation>

BANDO

Based on all of the above, with Saint John's Night approaching and before the tradition of. on the occasion of it. go to the beaches, everyone is reminded USERS OF BEACHES WHO:

FIRST.- It is NOT allowed on the entire coastline of the municipal district of El Ejido:

- the camping,
- bonfires,
- barbecues,
- beach parties,
- drinks parties,
- other similar activities.

SECOND.- It is recalled in relation to the use of the beaches that:

The Playas de El Ejido APP has information about the capacity, beach status, flags and other information of interest.

Groups of more than 15 people are not allowed.

A safety distance of 2 meters between groups will be respected in the sand and in the water.

Children under 14 years of age must always be accompanied of an adult.

You have to collect the garbage in a bag and deposit it in the bins and beach containers.

THIRD.- Finally, this Mayor calls on the responsibility of all beach users. especially on the night of the day
June 23. so that they respect compliance with the provisions of the sections above and so that they follow the indications that may be given by the Police, Local, Civil Guard, Civil Protection. lifeguards and all those people who are making an effort to avoid any type of regrowth in the health crisis of COVID-19.

FOURTH.- Non-compliance with any of the prohibitions and regulations in the use of the beaches it will be sanctioned according to the legislation valid

THE MAYOR
Francisco Gongora

The article here on Almería 360 is saying it is going to get pretty hot in the next few days.

Read More for a Google translation.

Note: Now we have "new normality" I will no longer be counting days in lock down. I will however continue to publish coronavirus stats at the moment. Plus any other coronavirus information I think might be interesting.

Daily info from my preferred Spanish stats guy

Note that a multiplication rate of 1.0 means approximately 0 events (cases or deaths) when comparing today`s 4 day average with yesterday's.

Note that this is the data from yesterday - due to timing changes to the release of data by the government

Google translation:

Data Sunday June 21

In the new stabilized system for reporting deaths, today a person is declared dead with coronavirus, by 7 yesterday and two on the first day of recovery in the series. Therefore, the low mortality rate at the end of the epidemic is maintained.

Although these are already validated and consolidated data, it is found that despite everything, they should not be considered as definitive. The Ministry of Health itself in its detail graph of the daily deaths in the last 14 days modifies the figures given two days ago with those reported today, for data between June 13 and 17 (see comparative graphs). Consolidation will not prevent us from new surprises, it seems.



High number of infections diagnosed in the last day taking into account that it is the weekend and that the number of tests practiced in the surveillance process falls greatly. They are 141, by 134 yesterday and 154 on Friday. Third consecutive day with high numbers of contagion in Aragon (today 33, yesterday 18, 25 on Friday)



Returning to the question of the number of daily deaths that had been suspended for 25 days, some pointed out that despite everything, the information was given on "Deceased with death date in the last 7 days." Here it has been insisted that this figure corresponded not to the actual total deceased, but only those with whom the complete individual record was kept. Fernando Simón did not help much to clarify this ambiguity, and when asked, he used to affirm that there could be some more to be accounted for but that the available information gave a useful trend of the situation. As a consequence, most of the press gave that number of deaths in the last 7 days as the real number.

Well, the reality of the situation had very little to do with the number of deaths that was published in the last 7 days, since May 25. Now that we have the daily deaths data, we can reconstruct the real number and show the difference between the two series.

Sanidad was giving during these more than three weeks of blackout a very stable figure of 35 to 100 deaths in the last week. The reality is that in late May the actual weekly figure was 400, from 250-300 in early June and it has only been in the last three days that coupling between the two series occurs.



Thus, in the initial phase of the information blackout, the only official public figure that was given only included 13% of the actual deaths. It has been covering only 20-40% of actual deaths during the entire period, up to full adjustment in recent days.



Did you help inform the population that from Health this partial death rate was given? No, he misinformed.

After a very long time in various forms of lock down today is the first day of the "new normal" in Spain.

For me it has not been too bad a start.

I woke up this morning with a smile on my face. As I remembered that Almería won 2-0 away from home last night. In a big match against the team second in the league.

Then the hangover kicked in. We had some friends round for dinner last night. It was a lovely evening. However my head hurt this morning.

We tried to blow away our hangovers with a round of golf. It seems to have worked even though the golf was not very good.

It is not going to be long until I veg out on the sofa for the rest of the day.

All seems pretty normal to me.

THIS IS THE ROLLING CORONAVIRUS STORY FOR SATURDAY 20 JUNE 2020 - DAY 97 OF LOCK DOWN (NOW PHASE 3 HERE IN ALMERIMAR)

Daily info from my preferred Spanish stats guy

Note that a multiplication rate of 1.0 means approximately 0 events (cases or deaths) when comparing today`s 4 day average with yesterday's.

Note that this is the data from yesterday - due to timing changes to the release of data by the government

Google translation:

Data Friday June 19

At last!! After 25 days, we finally closed the transition phase without any information on the daily evolution of the deceased.

The Ministry of Health has finally been able to show its reconstructed series of the daily evolution of the deceased by date of death and not by notification in its internal system. The external global result hardly changes; it was a simple readjustment of data between dates. So we insisted that it was a pity that death reporting had been suspended at an interval with the old system because we could have followed and accompanied the end of the epidemic.

This is the graph of the deceased newspapers in this 25-day window that we have had without official data via the Ministry. It is a total of 542 deceased. To this figure we must add another 750 that correspond to death on an earlier date, but that were not counted in the last unfrozen figure that occurred, on May 26, with 27,117. With these additions, the official recorded death toll stands at 28,315.



It is not a radical change in the total death toll. Because all this blocking of figures was not to add up the numbers of deaths in residences that had not been tested, as some erroneously predicted.

The adaptation of the official figures to the most real figures and closest to those of excess mortality (43,000 deaths) will be done progressively in the future, as Fernando Simón has promised, but not in the short term.

The death toll in the week prior to the cut of information stood at an average of 70 daily deaths. In the first week of the blackout, the average moved around 40 deaths; the following week it experienced another drop, to 25. The following one moved at 10-15. And in recent days it is below 10 every day. According to official data, yesterday was the first day since March 3 with no deaths. Yes, exit the epidemic in its mortality aspect.

This is the largest series of daily deaths, to appreciate the evolution of the last 25 days.



Output that is reflected in the multiplication rate. When the news blackout started, the multiplication rate was 1.005. Today, for the first time, the rate stands at 1.000! We must add a new decimal to see that it is not yet that exact 1 (there have been 11 deaths in the last 4 days; it is required that they be 0 deceased in that interval).



154 cases today (+11), with relevant numbers of cases in Andalusia (18) and Aragon (25). The multiplication rate by 1.002.



And once normality in data communication is recovered, we can share the table again.

For a few reasons this article is a sign that things are progressing towards the "new normal" in Almerimar.

For me, there is still some nervousness about the risk of infection. For myself and also for many others.

A large part of the Almerimar community is elderly. Also, I would guess that a significant number of people here will need to continue to be shielded from infection to some extent.

I feel that this is the first of what I hope in the future will be more baby steps towards some form of normality.

Firstly, Golf Almerimar has provided an updated list of official golf competitions for the rest of the year. As you can see above.

Secondly, this is just about the first article on here I have written for a long time where the focus is not coronavirus.

Thirdly, I am not planning to write a daily coronavirus story on here today. I will continue to write them some days. If there is something I feel it is worth reporting on.