THIS IS THE ROLLING CORONAVIRUS STORY FOR MONDAY 11 MAY 2020 - DAY 57 OF LOCK DOWN (NOW PHASE 1 HERE IN ALMERIMAR)
Daily info from my preferred Spanish stats guy
Note that a multiplication rate of 1.0 means approximately 0 events (cases or deaths) when comparing today`s 4 day average with yesterday's.
Yesterday's step down data is reinforced today. The risk that yesterday's data worsened today has not been met. We will see how much they are corrected with the data for Tuesday and Wednesday.
123 deaths reported today, 20 fewer than yesterday. New daily minimum in the lowering phase. It pushes significant drop in the multiplication rate, to 1.026.
The Ministry of Health announces 373 new cases (-248), again in the minimum area, in figures that are already manageable so that the autonomous communities can apply a true strategy for tracking positive contacts. The current expansion profile of the epidemic can be considered even lower if we consider that a significant percentage of positives are from health professionals. Yesterday, 42% of positives (265 cases) were from that group. In other words, it is not a matter of free contagion on the street, but of clearly defined foci.
The mismatch between total figures and new cases is again very large today, since it has included 2,721 "old" positives from Catalonia not reported so far. In the note they indicate a concise "the historical series will be updated in the coming days" to account for the mismatch.
Another novelty in the delivery of data by the Ministry of Health is that they finally add the positive results for antibody tests. There are 40,707 so far, which increases the number of total positives to 268,143. It is true that it is convenient to make the distinction between the two cases, since in the positives with antibody tests there are people with the virus that is no longer active, while all the positives with PCR correspond to people in active contagion.
The Autonomous Communities that have identified the most additional positives with the antibody tests are Castilla La Mancha and Castilla y León, while the Canary Islands does not appear to use this type of test.
As a percentage of the total number of tests carried out, the communities that have used the antibody tests the most are Murcia, Navarra and Castilla La Mancha.