THIS IS THE ROLLING CORONAVIRUS STORY FOR FRIDAY 15 MAY 2020 - DAY 61 OF LOCK DOWN (NOW PHASE 1 HERE IN ALMERIMAR)
International travel restrictions through to June 2020
A Phase 0.5 in Spain?
Daily info from my preferred Spanish stats guy
Note that a multiplication rate of 1.0 means approximately 0 events (cases or deaths) when comparing today`s 4 day average with yesterday's.
All the trends of the week are confirmed, and we are now open to see in what new situation the data of Saturday and Sunday will put us.
I also provide new analysis that is extracted from the data of the national sero-epidemiology study published yesterday, on the impact of the virus and the disease by age.
138 deaths in the last 24 hours. In the same way that we were not in these last two days in an upturn in the direction of a change in trend, today's drop is only confirming that we are still at the stage reached this past week. Yes, we could hope that the days with less than 100 deaths reported will begin to arrive soon, the new stage of descent. The multiplication rate rebounded slightly, to 1.027.
549 new infections detected in the last 24 hours. Now we know that it may correspond to some 5,000 new real cases of contagion throughout Spain. In the line of all the data of the week. 7 consecutive days below 600 new infections. However, the multiplication rate rebounded to 1.009 because the daily data has stabilized.
The data that will be published tomorrow will indicate if there is a new slump in the control of the epidemic, and we are putting ourselves in the area of 150-300 daily this coming week. Otherwise, there would be too many fronts with the possibility of strong and rapid regrowth.
As the phase assignment to provinces that are in Phase 0 will be announced today, and more lightening measures may be approved in those that are in Phase 1, I show the results by autonomous community with respect to the last 7 days instead of 4 .
First, the total cases by community, for this week and last week, for comparison.
From Saturday 9 to Friday 15 May, 3,511 cases have been identified in Spain. 1,102 come from Catalonia, 556 from Castilla y León. Among the other communities with provinces in Phase 0, Madrid has 437 cases, Castilla La Mancha 276, Valencia 194 and Andalusia 170.
Five communities have less than 5 cases per day: Asturias, La Rioja, Cantabria, Murcia and Extremadura.
The only communities that see an increase in the number of cases are Murcia and the Canary Islands. Aragon repeats number.